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AAP is front runner now in Punjab after heavy rural voting
By Nora Chopra
Punjab, the state on which the Congress was banking upon the most, is unlikely to vote the Congress to power. Arvind Kejriwal has emerged as a third alternative to both the Congress and the Akali -BJP alliance. When 70 plus voting took place on February 4 in the rural areas, it became clear that Kejriwal has left both the captain and the ruling Badals much behind. According to psephologist Amrish Tyagi who did the survey for Donald Trump in Punjab where the Aam Aadmi Party had slipped out a few months ago, is back in the race. Arvind Kejriwal's jharoo party is expected to sweep in its stronghold the Malwa region which is represented by its three MPs. The Malwa region has 69 seats. Out of which according to the survey, Kejriwal is supposed to get 55 seats. He would just need a few seats from outside Malwa to form the government. The Congress will get 45 plus seats, the BJP Akalis are likely to get 15 to 18 seats and the others will get 2 to 4 seats. In the Sikh dominated Punjab, the election for the first time has been fought between the poor and the rich. It is a class war says Tyagi that was being fought between rich and the poor in Punjab. Kejriwal is supposed to have done what even Kanshiram who belonged to Punjab could not do. The BSP failed to have any impact in Punjab which has 34 per cent dalits, one of the highest in any state in the country. Kejriwal has successfully weaned away the dalit voters plus the rural poor. The voting pattern proves the survey to be correct as polling on Sunday saw the voter turnout in rural areas the highest of all times in the past. The Congress that was tipped to win in the state this time has again run into trouble. The Congress which the survey has given 45 to52 seats is in for a further setback. With its captain in the state not sure of winning his own Patiala seat. General JJ Singh is giving him a tough fight. The Akali chief Prakash Singh Badal who ruled the state for consecutive ten years has perhaps already conceded defeat because he is learnt to be helping the Raja by getting the Akali votes transferred to the Congress. In this milieu it is the Hindu voter that finds itself confused. It does not know which way to go. In a normal election the Hindu voter was known to vote for the Congress and later for the BJP but with the BJP out and even the Congress not sure of forming government, it is the Hindu voter that is most affected.


In Tamil Nadu, the battle for succession continues to grab the lime light even after a month of Amma's death. While for the record, it is a battle between Jayalalithaa's friend Sasikala Natrajan and Panneerselvam, but it is actually the shadow boxing between the ruling BJP and the Congress. Even soon after Amma's death when the question of who should be the CM arose, then Sasikala who is a thevar herself, was opposed to Panneerselvam because he was a thevar. At that time too it was the intervention of the prime minister that Panneerselvam became the CM. The BJP which is short of numbers in Rajya Sabha badly needs the AIADMK support. But If Sasikala becomes the CM, then it is not possible. The BJP is banking on the governor/ The governor is close to the BJP. . He is actually the man of the finance minister Arun Jaitley. He was the MoS under Jaitley. It is alleged that it is on behest of the BJP that the governor took time to return back to Tamil Nadu Raj Bhavan. He is said to be waiting for the court's verdict. But even if the verdict goes against Sasikala, she will put somebody else on the Tamil Nadu throne.


Prashant Kishor, the Congress strategist is in for a beating as all his advices and strategies are likely to fail if the Congress fails to form the government in Punjab or Uttarakhand. He had been chased out of Uttar Pradesh by the UP leadership but of late, he has been heard bragging that he has managed Priyanka and now he is back in UP advising her. in Punjab He has already extracted a thanks giving feast for himself and his team from the Congress captain Amarinder Singh. But now reports are suggesting that it is Kejriwal that would form the government. In Uttarakhand, he was given a big welcome by the chief minister Harish Rawat. But if the reports are to be believed, then this is the only state where the BJP may form the government. So now the question is what happens to PK if the Congress fails in all the states.


The Narendra Modi government has changed all the rules of the parliament right from the date of the budget to finishing off the railway budget but the only thing the government has not changed is the president's address at the joint session of parliament which is followed by the discussion on the motion of thanks on the president's address. For the first time , about 651 amendments have been sought by the opposition in the Rajya Sabha and the question being asked in the political circles is why did the government humiliate the outgoing president Pranab Mukherjee who is due to retire after the budget session. When the address is not the personal view of the president who is the Titular head of the state. The address is the viewpoint of the government. But the government by making Mukherjee the subject of all the criticism. The government is under tremendous pressure of changing even this rule and instead of the president the prime minister should read this address as it is written by the cabinet. Meanwhile this humiliation is being seen that Pranab Mukherjee's tenure is over and he is all set to go.


Has anyone ever seen Mulayam Singh Yadav, the founder chief of the Samajwadi Party read out his statement from a piece of paper. He read out his statement from a piece of paper something which was unimaginable till date. It is being seen as if he has become a puppet in the hands of someone. But who is that someone. Many think it is Amar Singh but many close to him claim that this time it is no other but his own family. It was quite pitiable situation when in parliament on the first day poor Mulayam was standing all alone in the corridors of Parliament when his cousin Ram Gopal Yadav and even his most trusted friend Kiranmoy Nanda passed his way but did not even stop to do namaste to him. Mulayam who is said to be suffering from dementia looked a picture of loneliness so different from his past.


News Updated at : Monday, February 13, 2017
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